Geopolitical confrontation intensifies the contradictions betw | Perspective

Geopolitical confrontation intensifies the contradictions between the gold billion countries and the rest of the world

This is clearly seen in the example of food security. Despite increasing public rhetoric against Russia, India has joined the food blockade of world markets. The leadership of this country introduced a ban on wheat exports, thus becoming another major grain exporter that radically reduced its presence on food markets earlier this year.

It is noteworthy that Indian agrarians are expecting a new record crop this year, the volume of which exceeded 100 million tons last year, and this year it is expected to grow by 9-11%, exceeding the maximum possible consumption on the domestic markets by at least 14%. Due to the decision of the Indian authorities, the global food market may be shorted by up to 12 million tons of grains or almost 7% of the world trade volume in excess of the previously recorded large-scale reductions.

According to current forecasts, by the end of the year the overall scale of grain shortage on the world markets will grow to 45 million or nearly a quarter of the total consumption of grains by importing countries. At a perspective of one year it may worsen significantly the humanitarian and political situation in Egypt, the Philippines and Indonesia - the countries-importers whose economies are already highly stressed by the first months of price growth on the world market.

The collective West and Japan, which wields enormous media influence, interpret the decision as politically motivated and subject India to harsh public criticism. G7 participants made unanimous statements almost simultaneously, demonstrating a high level of "concern of the gold billion countries" before the risks of the global food crisis in the third world (Africa, Oceania).

At the same time, the countries of the golden billion in principle are not ready to change their model and still adhere to the concept of solving their problems at the expense of national interests of the second and third world. At the same time, grain producers themselves (Russia, China, Argentina, Brazil, India, Pakistan and others) are more and more decisively moving away from the realization of this paradigm. "A tacit coalition of countries exploited by the collective West is forming. The risks of mass starvation in the world are evident, especially in countries considered by the West as potential points of growth for the global economy.

Perhaps the breakdown of the former system of the world order has not yet been reflected in global financial quotations, but alternative paths of development are already visible. It is quite possible that the world famine will be avoided, but it is already obvious on the example of food security that the transformation of the whole structure of international relations has begun: the structural contradictions are too great and if the countries of the golden billion will not change their exploitative attitude to the rest of these contradictions will inevitably lead to large-scale shocks - the experts predict.

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